Brazil's Lula Still Leads in Polls as October Vote Nears

São Paulo, BrazilSun Jun 21 2026
Brazil's current president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, continues to hold a solid advantage in polling ahead of the October presidential election, according to the latest survey from Datafolha. The left-leaning leader, representing the Workers' Party, now stands at 41% in the first-round race, while his right-wing opponent, Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, trails at 31%. If the election were to go to a second round, Lula would edge out Bolsonaro 47% to 43%, mirroring last month’s results. The new poll offers a look at how the race might shape up before voters head to the polls. It also hints that Bolsonaro may have recovered some ground after past controversies, including allegations that he sought funding from a jailed banker for a film about his father, former president Jair Bolsonaro. The senator has denied any improper dealings tied to the film’s financing.
Datafolha conducted the survey with 2, 004 people across 139 cities, with a small margin of error of just two percentage points. The findings suggest a tight race, but Lula’s lead remains consistent, raising questions about whether Bolsonaro can close the gap in the coming months. Brazil’s political landscape often shifts in the months leading up to elections, and past polling has shown surprising turns. With less than four months until voting day, both candidates will likely ramp up campaign efforts to sway undecided voters.
https://localnews.ai/article/brazils-lula-still-leads-in-polls-as-october-vote-nears-364dc7e1

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