Can a Shift in Electoral Math Change the Course of the Election?

NebraskaFri Sep 27 2024
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The election season is heating up, and the stakes are higher than ever. In a bid to gain an edge, President Donald Trump and his allies have been pushing for a change in how Nebraska allocates its electoral votes. But a key Republican state senator, Mike McDonnell, has put a roadblock in their path. In a letter to his colleagues, McDonnell stated that he remains opposed to switching from the current system, where electoral votes are awarded by congressional district, to a winner-take-all model. This decision effectively blocks the Trump-backed push for a special legislative session to make the change. The move is seen as a significant blow to Trump's efforts to gain an extra electoral vote in the crucial swing state. The current system has given Democrats a foothold in the state, and changing it to a winner-take-all model would all but guarantee Trump's victory. But what does this mean for the election? Our latest national poll shows Kamala Harris ahead of Trump by 5 points among registered voters, with her popularity soaring since July. However, the poll also highlights the close nature of the election, with many factors still in play.