Global Political Hopes Shift Amid Uncertain Elections and Diplomacy

In Ethiopia, the current prime minister is regarded with a bullish tone, while the other two hopefuls face a bearish perception. Across the Atlantic, observers are leaning toward a negative view that the United States will lift the Iranian blockade soon, though some optimism lingers for a later change. Expectations also suggest that any next US‑Iran diplomatic meeting is unlikely to happen in the near term, and locations such as Oman or the UAE are seen as improbable venues.

Regarding maritime traffic through the strategic strait, people currently seem to think that a return to normal flow is weakening and not expected in the foreseeable future.