Pound in Peril: Experts Predict a Rocky Road for the UK Economy
United KingdomMon Oct 20 2025
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The UK's economic future is looking shaky, and investors are taking notice. Many fund managers are placing bets that the pound will drop in value. This is because the UK is facing slow growth and some tough financial decisions are coming up. Rachel Reeves, the Finance Minister, has a big task ahead with the upcoming budget. She is expected to raise taxes and cut spending. This is all happening while inflation stays high and economic growth is barely moving.
Recently, the UK's economy grew by just 0. 1% in August. While some areas like production saw a small increase, construction and services did not do so well. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) also released a report showing that the UK's inflation rate is higher than other developed countries. It is expected to be around 3. 4% this year.
The Bank of England is set to meet soon to discuss interest rates. Currently, the base rate is at 4%. Some experts think the market is too hopeful about future rate cuts. They believe there are more risks than the market is acknowledging.
Neil Mehta, a portfolio manager, warned that relying too much on tax hikes could hurt investor confidence and slow down growth. He advised investors to be cautious about the pound. Meanwhile, Mark Dowding, Chief Investment Officer at RBC BlueBay, noted that the yields on UK 10-year gilts are edging lower. He suggested that if yields continue to fall, it might be a good time to sell.
https://localnews.ai/article/pound-in-peril-experts-predict-a-rocky-road-for-the-uk-economy-194d5f03
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